News
Using the British Election Study to Understand the Great Polling Miss
Using the British Election Study to Understand the Great Polling Miss Competing explanations have been put forward for the large polling errors on May 7th. In this post, we examine five relatively plausible explanations of the polling errors, looking at the existing evidence for each…
Coding the ‘single most important issue’
The very first question on each wave of the British Election Study asks respondents “what is the SINGLE MOST important issue facing the country at the present time?” Variants of this question have a long history and are the most widely used measures of which…
BES Internet Panel Campaign Wave Data and W1-5 Panel Released
The British Election Study is pleased to announce the release of the fifth wave of the Internet Panel. You can download the data here. In total 30,725 respondents took wave 5 of the British Election Study. 28,073 of these also took wave 4, an overall…
The 2015 General Election: Religious Affiliation and Party Vote Share Across Constituencies
By Dr Ben Clements, University of Leicester (reposted with kind permission from British Religion In Numbers) As the weekend round-up of religious news on BRIN flagged up, the British Election Study (BES) 2015 has released the first version of the 2015 general election results dataset….
Message for BES Survey Respondents
Welcome to the British Election Study website. BES is managed by The University of Manchester, The University of Oxford and The University of Nottingham. The Scientific Leadership Team is comprised of Professors Ed Fieldhouse (Manchester), Jane Green (Manchester), Hermann Schmitt (Manchester), Geoff Evans (Oxford) and…
Seminar: who won the UK General Election, how and why?
Click below to see recorded coverage on BBC Parliament of a Nuffield College Oxford and British Election Study seminar, featuring BES Co-Directors Prof Jane Green and Prof Geoff Evans along with Peter Kellner, President of YouGov. BBC Parliament Channel
Updated 2015 General Election Results Data Released
Today we are releasing the updated version of our 2015 General Election results file. This comprises the 2015 election results for each constituency (winning party, vote share, number of votes, turnout, majority and changes in vote share since 2010), the 2010 results (winning party, vote share,…
Three common errors in interpreting voters’ choices
By the BES FactCheck Team Cees van der Eijk (BES and Nottingham) ,Stuart Fox (Nottingham), Mike Addelman (BES and Manchester) Annemarie Walter (Nottingham), Jonathan Rose (Nottingham), Fanni Toth (Nottingham), Fiona Williams (Nottingham), Katia Kolpinskaya (Nottingham), Josh Townsley (Nottingham), Tom Loughran (Manchester) During election night, we…
ITV’s Election analysis by Prof Jane Green
The British Election Study is working with ITV to bring in-depth analysis and understanding of the most unpredictable election in living memory. The British Election Study has provided an unparalleled source of election data and analysis since it began in 1964. ITV are releasing our…
General Election Constituency Forecast Update
By Ed Fieldhouse and Jon Mellon In March we blogged the British Election Study ‘nowcast’ based on preliminary data from Wave 4. We now publish an updated ‘nowcast’ to reflect the latest BES data and the most recent opinion polls. This gives our best estimate…